<Greys> EGG! I NEED SCIENCE!
* egg|zzz|egg going to work
<egg|zzz|egg> ping me in kspacademia when I'm there if you want, I'm on that channel at work
<Greys> if you roll 4 dice, and count only the fives and sixes; but you need to get a total count of 4, you have a 1.23% chance; if then you had the choice of rolling one more dice under the same terms, how does that effect teh whole
<Greys> kspacademia is not a place I can be
<Greys> I tried, not gonna work
<Greys> without consideration for the logic, it should look like this, but I think it becomes a montian hallway http://anydice.com/program/e23e
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<UmbralRaptor> greys: treat as a binomial distributed with a probability of success of 1/3, and plug in 4 and 5 successes for 5 trials?
<UmbralRaptor> !wa (1/3)^5
<Qboid> UmbralRaptor: (1/3)^5 = 1/243
<UmbralRaptor> !wa (1/3)^4*(2/3)*5
<Qboid> UmbralRaptor: (1/3)^4×2/3×5 = 10/243
<UmbralRaptor> !wa 11/243.0
<Qboid> UmbralRaptor: 11/243. = 0.045267489711934156378600823045267489711934156378600823045...
<UmbralRaptor> So, almost 4x more likely.